Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000607 0.000698 0.000794 0.000904 0.001026 0.001156 0.001305
2025-05-04 0.000459 0.000583 0.000724 0.000897 0.001099 0.001328 0.001605
2025-05-11 0.000374 0.000509 0.000671 0.000878 0.001131 0.001428 0.001800
2025-05-18 0.000324 0.000468 0.000650 0.000890 0.001195 0.001562 0.002035
2025-05-25 0.000281 0.000430 0.000626 0.000893 0.001241 0.001673 0.002240
2025-06-01 0.000235 0.000382 0.000582 0.000864 0.001244 0.001725 0.002371
2025-06-08 0.000198 0.000341 0.000543 0.000838 0.001244 0.001772 0.002493
2025-06-15 0.000175 0.000317 0.000524 0.000835 0.001275 0.001856 0.002665
2025-06-22 0.000155 0.000295 0.000507 0.000834 0.001305 0.001939 0.002835
2025-06-29 0.000135 0.000272 0.000485 0.000823 0.001321 0.002003 0.002979
2025-07-06 0.000117 0.000248 0.000461 0.000807 0.001327 0.002051 0.003103
2025-07-13 0.000109 0.000241 0.000461 0.000825 0.001383 0.002171 0.003327
2025-07-20 0.000100 0.000231 0.000456 0.000838 0.001432 0.002281 0.003542
2025-07-27 0.000087 0.000214 0.000438 0.000828 0.001446 0.002343 0.003691
2025-08-03 0.000076 0.000196 0.000417 0.000811 0.001448 0.002387 0.003814
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000188 0.000413 0.000822 0.001494 0.002495 0.004031
2025-08-17 0.000062 0.000178 0.000405 0.000825 0.001525 0.002582 0.004218
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000161 0.000380 0.000798 0.001508 0.002596 0.004299
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000145 0.000358 0.000773 0.001493 0.002610 0.004380
2025-09-07 0.000040 0.000137 0.000348 0.000771 0.001514 0.002681 0.004545
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000129 0.000340 0.000769 0.001536 0.002752 0.004713
2025-09-21 0.000031 0.000120 0.000327 0.000759 0.001543 0.002801 0.004846
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.000110 0.000312 0.000744 0.001540 0.002833 0.004955